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Willow
04-07-2006, 09:11 AM
Checking our local Future shop, they are selling a Samsung Blu-ray DVD player, for one low price of $1299.99. Yikes, It's gonna take a lot more coming down in price before I even think to consider a possibility of purchasing this type of product.

mhardy6647
04-07-2006, 09:45 AM
They'll be $79.95 in 18 to 24 months... maybe less if that format is the non-winner in the HD-DVD wars.

Willow
04-07-2006, 09:53 AM
True, but still 1300$ for something that may not take off or even work well......hmmmm sounds like Beta all over again

mhardy6647
04-07-2006, 10:34 AM
Such are the costs of the early adopter :-)

venomclan
04-07-2006, 10:40 AM
They will never move at that price. $499 should be the ceiling. Especially for the mass market players.

sickicw
04-07-2006, 12:53 PM
they will be expensive for around 6 months or so. When the ps3 come out in november most will be reduced to around $500 or so. if you wait a year or two they will come down to around $200. I am talking about averages here. There will still be expensive high end ones over $1000 and you might find some cheap piece of cr*p for $79.95.

cfrizz
04-07-2006, 01:42 PM
Yup! Between how buggy it will probably be + 2 different technologies competing against one another, this is a lost cause!

They should have made one universal player & been done with it! TThey never learn!:rolleyes:


True, but still 1300$ for something that may not take off or even work well......hmmmm sounds like Beta all over again

danger boy
04-07-2006, 02:55 PM
VHS or Beta?
SACD or DVD-Audio?
Blu Ray or HD-DVD?
chicken or fish?
paper or plastic?

neomagus00
04-07-2006, 03:24 PM
a blu-ray disc about a paper fish who fights crime with sharpened sacd's and watches vhs at night to relax?

Frank Z
04-07-2006, 06:39 PM
It's expensive....so? It's new, it's better than whats currently available with regards to picture quality. Format wars or not, as soon as I can scrape together enough spare change (:rolleyes:) I'll be all over it like a fat chick on a donut.

The price doesn'r seem unreasonable to me when you look at some of the other pieces of equipment we spend money on. Individual components are often far more expensive. Yes there are low budget options for just about everything high end, but sometimes saving up and buying a premium piece makes more sense. Let's face facts, a $49 DVD player is never going to look or sound as a good as a $1000 player, even if you do add Bling-Bling resistors or wiz-bang fuel-injected 10 speed windsshield wipers.

Video performance is critical to some, relatively unimportant to others. Kinda like 2 channel vs. multi-channel....SS vs. Tubes....lamp cord vs. the favorite cable flavor of the month.

It's all relative.... audition before you buy, buy what pleases you, buy only what you can afford, or in some cases justify.

If it matters to you and you feel that you are getting value for the amount spent, well that's what it's all about.

LuSh
04-07-2006, 07:14 PM
I have no idea how people forget so quickly about history. How much was DVD when it first entered the market? I don't know about your neck of the woods but in mine you were paying $499 for a barebones Toshiba sold at Costco with no component video output. A Sony was easily $1199.99.

And perhaps people forget but there was a major battle dwelling as both DVD and DviX lanched. Fox and other studios who held rights to BIG tittles said they'd opt for DivX first. That all but eliminated the chance to own Star Wars, Indiana Jones, The GodFather Trilogy and several other high profile collections for early adopters.

I remember this because I really rolled the dice on that "cheap" Toshiba player while still attending College and not making any real money. It will be interesting to see who wins. My bet is on Blu Ray, and if you were at CES this January I think you'd agree.

*Seby*-Polk-
04-07-2006, 07:18 PM
ohh shit.... if in USA the blu ray player cost U$S 1199, Here...no less than U$S 1.699 :(:(:(

polkatese
04-07-2006, 09:18 PM
Is it really out already? I am checking Bestbuy.com, but can't seem to find it. futureshop is owned by BB, no?

Ron-P
04-07-2006, 09:37 PM
No, Blu-ray is not out yet, your looking a several months at least, they've got some issues to sort out yet, problems with the players reading the software.

Now, HD-DVd will be out in about 2 weeks or less, I cannot wait, gonna pick me up one.

polkatese
04-07-2006, 09:43 PM
That's what I thought too, Ron...I guess our northern friends get an early peek of the player.

I'll definitely will check out HD-DVD when it goes out, hopefully BB will have an elaborate demo setup to showcase it.

iworkfortweeter
04-19-2006, 04:22 PM
there are HD-DVD's and there are Blu-Ray dvd's. both players are different, and have completely different formats. they are NOT inter-compatible. they use seperate decoding technology.

dorokusai
04-19-2006, 05:18 PM
I'll probably go Blu-ray instead of HD-DVD.

reeltrouble1
04-19-2006, 05:45 PM
dibs on the unit somebody gets rid off when the next gen comes out. Now if someone comes out with a better sounding musical device, count me in.

RT1

kingkip
04-19-2006, 06:11 PM
Not to mention that you can still buy a dvd player for more than $1200.

Kris Siegel
04-24-2006, 12:16 PM
there are HD-DVD's and there are Blu-Ray dvd's. both players are different, and have completely different formats. they are NOT inter-compatible. they use seperate decoding technology.
Not necessarily. There have been several manufacturers that have stated they will develop players that can play both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD. The disc is pretty much the same, it's just a different laser and a slightly different encoding scheme.

Though I'm sure those will cost even more.
I'll probably go Blu-ray instead of HD-DVD.
Why? Because Blu-Ray has a higher capacity? They will both give you the same quality video and audio.

Both formats have their ups and downs, but if Sony's recent failure with the UMD is any indication as to how Blu-Ray will do, and with the production of Blu-Ray players getting pushed back because they can't finalize a DRM scheme, I have my doubts about the format.

Btw, HD-DVD Players are already out and I believe some movie studios are shipping HD-DVDs as well.

shack
04-24-2006, 12:32 PM
I could care less which one "wins" at this point. We currently have at least 5 DVD players with progressive scan and over 500 DVDs. My PQ is already better than any theater and is just fine as far as I'm concerned. I will be extremely slow to "adapt" to a new format. When I do, I don't care which one it is as long as it is backward compatable.

Nelson57
04-24-2006, 12:39 PM
I do agree that like with most new technologies prices will come down overtime, not only for the players but the movies as well. The fact that the initial wave of HD/Blue Ray players are not able to play SACD's, at least thats what I've read, is a deal breaker for me.

At least with current DVD players at the HD player price point they are more than likely universal players, and offer more functionality.

And, I am still quite satisfied with the PQ I get from component video. I'm sure I'll upgrade at some point, but all the right pieces have to be in place.

Ron-P
04-24-2006, 12:44 PM
Btw, HD-DVD Players are already out and I believe some movie studios are shipping HD-DVDs as well.
Yep, I've got Phantom of the Opera, Serenity and The Last Samurai. Tomorrow, Doom and Apollo 13.

I'll buy a blu-ray machine but not until the prices drop below $500. I will not spend $1k on a dvd player.

halo
04-24-2006, 01:24 PM
Blu Ray vs. HD-DVD = Microsoft vs. Macintosh - 1st one on the market wins?

unc2701
04-24-2006, 02:10 PM
I'm starting to think HD-DVD is going to win this. Unlike Divx vs DVD there's no real difference in performance to the end user. Blue Ray requires a complete retooling of production, so their costs are going to stay up for a little longer than HD-DVD. HD-DVD also is hitting the market earlier and the XBOX is getting a HD-DVD add-on soon, while the PS3 is a christmas release, best case. The studio support might be a little stronger for Blu-Ray, but the only hold out will be Sony if things start to look bad for BR.

Remember- Beta was the superior format, but still lost the war.

Ron-P
04-24-2006, 02:24 PM
Any studio can switch support at any time, if either format starts to die off studios will jump over to the winning format.

sickicw
04-24-2006, 02:24 PM
Blue ray will win, or they will both survive and blue ray will dominate.

This is simple because every single ps3 game will come on a blu ray disk. Zero xbox games will come on a hd-dvd disk.

Fox studios will most likely never release to hd-dvd so you will have to get a blu-ray to watch a lot of the best selling movies like titanic or star wars. All the other studios plan on releasing to blu-ray or soon will. To me this is really a no brainer.

dorokusai
04-24-2006, 02:47 PM
Not necessarily. There have been several manufacturers that have stated they will develop players that can play both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD. The disc is pretty much the same, it's just a different laser and a slightly different encoding scheme.

Though I'm sure those will cost even more.

Why? Because Blu-Ray has a higher capacity? They will both give you the same quality video and audio.

Both formats have their ups and downs, but if Sony's recent failure with the UMD is any indication as to how Blu-Ray will do, and with the production of Blu-Ray players getting pushed back because they can't finalize a DRM scheme, I have my doubts about the format.

Btw, HD-DVD Players are already out and I believe some movie studios are shipping HD-DVDs as well.

Why? Because I can....it's my decision.

unc2701
04-24-2006, 02:54 PM
This is simple because every single ps3 game will come on a blu ray disk. Zero xbox games will come on a hd-dvd disk.


You assume that PS3 will succeed- which is getting uglier by the day. The latest reports are that the components won't go in the case without catching on fire, the november release looks shakey and if they miss Christmas 2006, all the xbox 360 holdouts will get that instead of a PS3. Oh and when it does come out the base PS3 will cost $900. So- they have an uphill battle on both BR vs HD-dvd and PS3 vs Xbox360. If they miss christmas, they're completely screwed.

I do agree that the PS3 component of this format war tilts things to Sony's advantage, but HD-DVD has all the momentum right now and the studios will follow the sales. On the other hand, making the November release will jump start Blu-ray and buy them time before their exclusive studios consider releasing on HD.

sickicw
04-24-2006, 03:07 PM
- If ps3 does not succeed than sony is screwed. There is, however, no evidence to support this and if you think there is, please post the source.

- The ps3 will not cost the consumer $900

- The studios are not stupid. They understand the market and that blu-ray will take a little longer to get started. This temporary momentum will not last too long. The age of 1080p movies are just about to get started, and blu-ray will be in the lead.

Demiurge
04-24-2006, 03:10 PM
*haaa-choo*

Man, it's dusty in here.

unc2701
04-24-2006, 03:32 PM
http://theinquirer.net/?article=30931

You're right about the $900- the article was way outdated. Looks like $500 is more in line with current rumours, which would also make it basically at-cost.

Anyhow, expect some seppuku from some sony exec's if they don't get the PS3 out in time for Christmas.

Edit: Merril lynch puts cost at around $800 (but drop to around $320 after 3 years), so anything less on the street will be at a loss:
http://rsch1.ml.com/9093/24013/ds/276873_0.PDF

Kris Siegel
04-24-2006, 10:17 PM
- The ps3 will not cost the consumer $900

This is probably true. Sony has released several press releases stating the PS3 would not cost below $599 when it is released. It's still possible for it to end up at $900 but I highly doubt it, especially if Sony wants to still be in the gaming market.

- The studios are not stupid. They understand the market and that blu-ray will take a little longer to get started. This temporary momentum will not last too long. The age of 1080p movies are just about to get started, and blu-ray will be in the lead.
Why would Blu-Ray be in the lead? Again, the only advantage to Blu-Ray is the higher capacity. Both formats will be able to play movies at 1080p but there are almost no 1080p capable TVs so it doesn't really matter at this point anyway.

I am not sure you can dismiss the mementum of HD-DVD as it will have at least a 6 month head start. Many will purchase HD-DVD players and HD-DVDs. When Blu-Ray comes out, it'll be more expensive than HD-DVD players. I can't see why anyone would really go for the Blu-Ray player and discs unless they already have a PS3 (which will be considerably more expensive than its rivals).

I am going to wait before purchasing any HD-DVDs and Blu-Ray discs to see who comes out on top so I can buy into that technology. I honestly don't care which one wins as both have the same capabilities. I just don't see how HD-DVD won't win at this point.

Ron-P
04-25-2006, 12:03 AM
Funny, on other forums people say HD-DVD will win and Blu-ray will die.

Once Blu-ray hits the $500 threshold, I'm in. I love this hi-def dvd stuff too much to wait.

drew spelts
04-25-2006, 02:29 AM
I understand exactly what made BETA the superior format but I am fairly young and the war was prety well over by the time our family got a VCR player. Why on earth did VHS kick BETA's face in so badly. I just dont know what could have happened for an inferior product to take the market by storm.

Thanks, Drew

danger boy
04-25-2006, 03:41 AM
I think Beta died because Sony didn't want to partner with other giant electronics companies.. VHS had support from most of the major players in home electronics at the time.. they basically squeezed Sony Betamax out of the market.

It was Sony's own greed that killed the superior audio and video format. Sometimes you win, and sometimes you get punched in the gut, and get the wind knocked out of ya.

unc2701
04-25-2006, 10:27 AM
The biggest factor was that VHS had an intial recording time of 3 hours, vs Beta's 60 minutes. Momentum to VHS. As video sales & rentals started, they had the upper hand and soon began to dominate the rental market. At that point VHS had effectively won.

One thing to keep in mind, though. Sony made more money on Beta than any of its competitors on VHS and dominated pro/broadcast studios for years.

So the lesson here is that Blu-ray could vry well lose the home High-def player wars, but its status as a truly next gen technology could set Sony up to make more money in the long run.

sickicw
04-25-2006, 11:20 AM
Why would Blu-Ray be in the lead? Again, the only advantage to Blu-Ray is the higher capacity. Both formats will be able to play movies at 1080p but there are almost no 1080p capable TVs so it doesn't really matter at this point anyway.

Blu-Ray will be in the lead because all of the blu-ray players can output 1080p at 60hz. At this time there is no hd-dvd player that can do this (they only do 1080i). Yes, the hd-dvd disks hold enough data for this, but the players do not support it. This is probably the reason the blu-ray players are more expensive. When the hd-dvd camp finally gets a player that can support it, it will cost about as much as a blu-ray player.

Blu-ray players are out in may or june.
1080p tvs with 1080p hdmi inputs are out june or july.
And at this point in time, it does matter to me. I will wait until the fall and pick up a new tv and blu-ray player.

Ron-P
04-25-2006, 11:38 AM
Blu-Ray will be in the lead because all of the blu-ray players can output 1080p at 60hz.
All HD-DVD titles are 1080p so on the software side they're equally matched. This first gen A1 does only output at 1080i but I would guess that by 2nd gen or 3rd they'll be outputting 1080p and I highly doubt they'll be $1k. Your reason why blu-ray will lead doesn't hold much water.

Besides, are there even any displays that can accept a 1080p feed? How many people have one that can take advantage of that this year to justify paying twice as much over HD-DVD? Not many I'd guess.

unc2701
04-25-2006, 11:50 AM
Blu-Ray will be in the lead because all of the blu-ray players can output 1080p at 60hz. At this time there is no hd-dvd player that can do this (they only do 1080i). Yes, the hd-dvd disks hold enough data for this, but the players do not support it. This is probably the reason the blu-ray players are more expensive. When the hd-dvd camp finally gets a player that can support it, it will cost about as much as a blu-ray player.



Only reason why the current batch of HD-DVD players don't have 1080p is that the HDMI standard wasn't complete in time. All the HD-DVD discs are coming out 1080p native, and the next gen players will support 1080p. Next gen=cheaper, despite the 1080p costs.

But, I still think that doesn't matter- I'm still sticking with it all hinging on PS3 succeeding.

Really, I want Blu-ray to win. It's better, not question. But that's not the way the world works.

Ron-P
04-25-2006, 11:52 AM
It's better, not question
How?

sickicw
04-25-2006, 12:11 PM
I guess you didn't understand my post. I'll try to break it down a bit more. I, personally, am looking for a new tv with 1080p inputs. Every major tv maker will have one out this year. Sony will have theirs out in june or july (so that they can demo the blu-ray player on them). I also want a high definition disk player. Now, I’m not going to buy a hd-dvd player because a blu-ray player outputs at twice the resolution. If I decide to wait for hd-dvd to build a player that supports this (and I have no idea when this will be), I might as well wait 6 months and pick up a ps3. By the time 1080p hd-dvds come out there should be a cheap blu-ray player.

Now you asked how many people have displays that can accept a 1080p feed? I would guess not too many. But ask yourself why would people want to buy a product that is going to be obsolete in one month? $500 - $700 for something that is cutting edge for one month? No thank you. I think it is rather funny that anyone would shell out $500+ to buy the current hd-dvd players that won’t even be much better than the current hd-broadcast signals. Anyway, Im done on this subject. I already made my decision to wait for the ps3 to come out.

unc2701
04-25-2006, 12:20 PM
All things like cost and studio backing aside, blu-ray has higher throughput and more space. The only technological advantage for HD-DVD is that the discs are supposed to be more durable.

drew spelts
04-25-2006, 09:06 PM
Are they a little more durable because they do not have as much info written in such tiny space. Like when a piece of dust sticks to the laser reading side could this cause a BIG glitch because it is reading an area smaller than the spec of dust?

Emlyn
04-25-2006, 09:44 PM
Are they a little more durable because they do not have as much info written in such tiny space. Like when a piece of dust sticks to the laser reading side could this cause a BIG glitch because it is reading an area smaller than the spec of dust?

Blu-ray discs will actually be more durable than HD-DVD's, current DVD's and CD's thanks to TDK's (a backer of Blu-ray) development of a new coating system. Apparently, the coating has been well tested and is capable of withstanding attempts to scratch a disc with a screwdriver. There were strong concerns early on about Blu-ray discs because the initial design would have required the use of a protective caddy with each disc because the data layer is so much closer to the surface of the disc than with DVD, CD, or HD-DVD.

Overall, it seems Blu-ray may be more expensive initially. As far as which format proves to be more successful, my money would be on Blu-ray because of the companies backing it.

Lsi9
04-25-2006, 11:54 PM
They will both thrive like SACD and DVD-Audio with the advent of universal HD players coming in fall-1stQ 2007, I'll wait for one of those.

Ron-P
04-26-2006, 12:40 AM
universal HD players coming in fall-1stQ 2007
Got a link for that.

I want to pick up a Blu-ray machine but if one is coming that soon I'll try and wait. From what I last heard licencing is a huge issue and we won't see a univeral player for a very long time.

Kris Siegel
04-26-2006, 12:49 AM
I guess you didn't understand my post. I'll try to break it down a bit more. I, personally, am looking for a new tv with 1080p inputs. Every major tv maker will have one out this year. Sony will have theirs out in june or july (so that they can demo the blu-ray player on them). I also want a high definition disk player. Now, I’m not going to buy a hd-dvd player because a blu-ray player outputs at twice the resolution. If I decide to wait for hd-dvd to build a player that supports this (and I have no idea when this will be), I might as well wait 6 months and pick up a ps3. By the time 1080p hd-dvds come out there should be a cheap blu-ray player.
HD DVDs are already out. Like previously mentioned, you will see HD-DVD players outputting at 1080p within a few months, and they will be cheaper than Blu-Ray because Blu-Ray is more expensive to produce (the discs and the optical drives).

You will probably see HD DVD players with 1080p outputs before you even see any Blu-Ray players (the first Blu-Ray player will most likely be Samsung's and that's about 3 months away from release after being pushed back numerous times). Also, a Samsung player is coming out that can play both HD DVD and Blu-Ray, both outputting at 1080p. Sounds like a safer buy to me but it's expected to be very expensive.

Also, I wouldn't expect a cheap Blu-Ray player by the time the PS3 comes out. The PS3, Sony mentioned in several press releases, won't be lower than $500 and is expected to be priced around $599 to $699. Most Blu-Ray players will be released about 3 months before the PS3 (3 months from now) and are expected to cost around $1,000. There is no way a company can cust manufacturing costs to make a "cheap" Blu-Ray player by the time the PS3 comes out. It's just not possible.

Now you asked how many people have displays that can accept a 1080p feed? I would guess not too many. But ask yourself why would people want to buy a product that is going to be obsolete in one month? $500 - $700 for something that is cutting edge for one month? No thank you. I think it is rather funny that anyone would shell out $500+ to buy the current hd-dvd players that won’t even be much better than the current hd-broadcast signals. Anyway, Im done on this subject. I already made my decision to wait for the ps3 to come out.
It's a good idea to wait for the PS3 to come out before making any decisions as it'll probably be the deciding factor in Blu-Ray's fate, but I wouldn't call 1080i "obsolete". All HD broadcasts are either in 720p or 1080i and I don't think we'll be seeing 1080p broadcasts for years. 1080i will last a long time.

Ron-P
04-26-2006, 08:16 PM
universal HD players coming in fall-1stQ 2007

Doesn't look like it.

http://www.polkaudio.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40304

iworkfortweeter
04-26-2006, 08:32 PM
hd dvd's are stupid. *shrug.* just so much unneeded controversy over such a trivial thing...

Ron-P
04-26-2006, 08:59 PM
If they won't work together to come up with one format I highly doubt they give up their licensing for someone else to come up with a combo player.

wallstreet
04-26-2006, 10:05 PM
I'm on the sidelines until the format wars are over. Anyone buying one over the other at this point has money to burn. You'll know when the format wars are over when one format overtakes the ubiquitous DVD at Blockbuster.